Green innovation in a balance-of-payments constraint growth model for developing economies with capital inflows: The Latin America scenario

Authors

  • Leonardo Flauzino de Souza Federal University of Mato Grosso
  • Wellington Santos de Amorim University of Campinas, San Paulo

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.13133/2037-3643/18655

Keywords:

balance-of-payments, capital inflows, green innovation, spillover effects

Abstract

The main purpose of the paper is to build a balance of payments constraint model with capital inflows, where green innovations are inducers of the structural change process. The main results indicate that green R&D can reduce the growth rate of natural resource use. On the other hand, green structural change will only occur if foreign direct investment has spillover effects on green R&D.

References

Aizenman J., Jinjarak Y. and Park D. (2013), “Capital flows and economic growth in the era of financial integration and crisis, 1990–2010”, Open Economies Review, 24, pp. 371-396.

Alencar D., Strachman E., Seixas Barbosa L.O. and Branco Puty C.A.C. (2019), “On foreign direct investments and the balance of payments constrained growth model in Latin America, 1990-2014”, PSL Quarterly Review, 72(290), pp. 207-221. Available online.

Alvarado R., Iñiguez M. and Ponce P. (2017), “Foreign direct investment and economic growth in Latin America”, Economic Analysis and Policy, 56, pp. 176-187.

Anderson J.E. (1979), “A theoretical foundation for the gravity equation”, American Economic Review, 69, pp. 106-116.

Anderson J.E. (2010), “The gravity model”, NBER Working Paper Series, no. 16576, Cambridge (MA): National Bureau for Economic Research. Available online.

Archibugi D. and Michie J. (1995), “The globalisation of technology: A new taxonomy”, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 19, pp. 121-140.

Argentiero A., Bollino C.A., Micheli S. and Zopounidis C. (2018), “Renewable energy sources policies in a Bayesian DSGE model”, Renewable Energy, 120, pp. 60-68.

Barbosa-Filho N.H. (2021), “Carry trade, exchange rates, and the balance-of-payments”, Journal of Globalization and Development, 12, pp. 103-116.

Batten S. (2018), “Climate change and the macro-economy: A critical review”, BoE Working papers, no. 706, London: Bank of England. Available online.

Batten S., Sowerbutts R., Tanaka, M. (2016), “Let’s Talk About the Weather: The Impact of Climate Change on Central Banks”, BoE Working papers, no. 603, London: Bank of England. Available online.

Boleti E., Garas A., Kyriakou A. and Lapatinas A. (2021), “Economic complexity and environmental performance: Evidence from a world sample”, Environmental modeling and assessment, 26, pp. 251-270.

Borgonovo E. and Plischke E. (2016), “Sensitivity analysis: A review of recent advances”, European Journal of Operational Research, 248, pp. 869–887.

Bresser-Pereira L.C. (2012), “Structuralist macroeconomics and the new developmentalism”, Economia Política, 32, 347-366.

Bresser-Pereira L.C. (2020a), “Novo desenvolvimentismo - um segundo momento do estruturalismo latino-americano”, Revista de Economia Contemporânea, 24 (1), pp. 1-20. Available online.

Bresser-Pereira L.C. (2020b), “New developmentalism: Development macroeconomics for middle-income countries”, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 44, pp. 629-646.

Bresser-Pereira L.C., Araújo E.C. and Costa Peres S. (2020), “An alternative to the middle-income trap”, Structural change and economic dynamics, 52, pp. 294-312.

Canh N.P., Binh N.T., Thanh S.D. and Schinckus C. (2020), “Determinants of foreign direct investment inflows: The role of economic policy uncertainty” International Economics, 161, pp. 159-172.

Chen J., Rojniruttikul N., Kun L.Y. and Ullah S. (2022), “Management of green economic infrastructure and environmental sustainability in one belt and road initiative economies”, Environmental science and pollution research, 29, pp. 36326-36336.

Ciarli T. and Savona M. (2019), “Modelling the evolution of economic structure and climate change: A review” Ecological Economics, 158, pp. 51-64.

Cimoli M. and Porcile G. (2014), “Technology, structural change and BOP-constrained growth: A structuralist toolbox”, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 38, pp. 215-237.

Cuadros A., Navas A. and Paniagua J. (2022), “Moving ideas across borders: Foreign inventors, patents and FDI”, World Economics, 45, pp. 3652-3678.

Dafermos Y., Nikolaidi M. and Galanis G. (2017), “A stock-flow-fund ecological macroeconomic model”, Ecological Economics, 131, pp. 191-207.

de Paula L.F., Fritz B. and Prates D.M. (2017), “Keynes at the periphery: Currency hierarchy and challenges for economic policy in emerging economies”, Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 40, pp. 183-202.

Deleidi M., Fontanari C. and Gahn S.J. (2023), “Autonomous demand and technical change: exploring the Kaldor–Verdoorn law on a global level”, Economia Politica, 40, pp. 57-80.

Dellis K. (2024), “Financial distance and FDI flows: Evidence from OECD economies”, The World Economy, 47 (6), pp. 2536-2573. Available online.

Dosi G. (1982), “Technological paradigms and technological trajectories. A suggested interpretation of the determinants and directions of technical change”, Research Policy, 11, pp. 147-162.

Dosi G. (1988), “Sources, procedures, and microeconomic effects of innovation”, Journal of Economic Literature, 26, pp. 1120-1171.

Dosi G., Fagiolo G. and Roventini A. (2010), “Schumpeter meeting Keynes: A policy-friendly model of endogenous growth and business cycles”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 34, pp. 1748-1767.

Dunz N., Naqvi A. and Monasterolo I. (2021), “Climate sentiments, transition risk, and financial stability in a stock-flow consistent model”, Journal of Financial Stability, 54, art. 100872.

Fajnzylber, F. (1983), La industrialización trunca de América Latina, Mexico: Nueva Imagen.

Ferrari M.A.R., Freitas F.N.P. and Barbosa Filho N. (2013), “A taxa de câmbio real e a restrição externa: Uma proposta de releitura com elasticidades endógenas”, Revista de Economia Política, 33, pp. 60-81.

Fontana G. and Sawyer M. (2016), “Towards post-Keynesian ecological macroeconomics” Ecological Economics, 121, pp. 186-195.

Gabardo F.A., Pereima J.B. and Einloft P. (2017), “The incorporation of structural change into growth theory: A historical appraisal”, EconomiA, 18, pp. 392-410.

Guarini G. and Porcile G. (2016), “Sustainability in a post-Keynesian growth model for an open economy”, Ecological Economics, 126, pp. 14-22.

Guerin S.S. (2006), “The role of geography in financial and economic integration: A comparative analysis of foreign direct investment, trade and portfolio investment flows”, The World Economy, 29, pp. 189-209.

Johnson L. (2017), “Green foreign direct investment in developing countries”, Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment Staff Publications, no. 10/2017, New York: Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment. Available online.

Jylhä P. and Suominen M. (2011), “Speculative capital and currency carry trades”, Journal of Financial Economics, 99, pp. 60-75.

Kaczmarczyk P. and Flassbeck H. (2023), “Foreign direct investments and the dynamics of trade and capital flows: Schumpeterian insights for sustained development”, Global Policy, 14, pp. 477-488.

Lamperti F., Dosi G., Napoletano M., Roventini A. and Sapio A. (2018), “Faraway, so close: Coupled climate and economic dynamics in an agent-based integrated assessment model” Ecological Economics, 150, pp. 315-339.

Lavoie M. (2017), “The origins and evolution of the debate on wage-led and profit-led regimes”, European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, 14, pp. 200-221.

Magacho G., Espagne E., Godin A., Mantes A. and Yilmaz D. (2023), “Macroeconomic exposure of developing economies to low-carbon transition”, World Development, 167, art. 106231.

Marchetti C. (1980), “Society as a learning system: Discovery, invention, and innovation cycles revisited”, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 18, pp. 267-282.

Missio F.J. and Gabriel L.F. (2016), “Real exchange rate, technological catching up and spillovers in a balance- of-payments constrained growth model”, EconomiA, 17, pp. 291-309.

Modis T. and Debecker A. (1988), “Innovation in the computer industry”, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 33, pp. 267-278.

Moosa I.A. and Cardak B.A. (2006), “The determinants of foreign direct investment: An extreme bounds Analysis”, Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 16, pp. 199-211.

Nelson R.R. and Winter S.G. (1977), “In search of useful theory of innovation”, Research Policy, 6, pp. 36-76.

Ocampo J.A. (2016), “Balance of payments dominance: Its implications for macroeconomic policy”, in: Damill M., Rapetti M. and Rozenwurcel G. (eds.), Macroeconomics and Development: Roberto Frenkel and the Economies of Latin America (pp. 211-228), New York: Columbia University Press.

Perraton J. (2003), “Balance of payments constrained growth and developing countries: An examination of Thirlwall’s hypothesis”, International Review of Applied Economics, 17, pp. 1-22.

Porcile G. (2021), “Latin American structuralism and neo-structuralism” in: New Perspectives on Structural Change (pp. 50-71), Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Porcile G. and Yajima G.T. (2019), “New structuralism and the balance-of-payments constraint”, Review of Keynesian Economics, 7, pp. 517-536.

Prebisch R. (1950), “The economic development of Latin America and its principal problems”, Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, 7, pp. 1-59.

Ribeiro R.S.M., McCombie J.S.L. and Lima G.T. (2016), “Exchange rate, income distribution and technical change in a balance-of-payments constrained growth model”, Review of Political Economy, 28, pp. 545-565.

Ring I. (1997), “Evolutionary strategies in environmental policy”, Ecological Economics, 23, pp. 237-249.

Romero J.P. and Gramkow C. (2021), “Economic complexity and greenhouse gas emissions”, World Development, 139, art. 105317.

Semieniuk G., Campiglio E., Mercure J., Volz U. and Edwards N.R. (2021), “Low-carbon transition risks for Finance”, WIREs Climate Change, 12(1). Available online.

Singer H.W. (1950), “The distribution of gains between investing and borrowing countries”, American Economic Review,40, pp. 473-485.

Thirlwall A.P. (1979), “The balance of payments constraint as an explanation of international growth rate differences”, BNL Quarterly Review, 32, pp. 45-53. Available online.

Thirlwall A.P. and Hussain M.N. (1982), “The balance of payments constraint, capital flows and growth rate differences between developing countries”, Oxford Economic Papers, 34, pp. 498-510.

Volz U., Beirne J., Ambrosio Preudhomme N., Fenton A., Mazzacurati E., Renzhi N.and Stampe J. (2020), Climate change and sovereign risk, London, Tokyo, Singapore, and Berkeley, CA: SOAS University of London, Asian Development Bank Institute, World Wide Fund for Nature Singapore and Four Twenty Seven. Available online.

Wang F., Wong W.-K., Wang Z., Albasher G., Alsultan N., Fatemah A. (2023). “Emerging pathways to sustainable economic development: An interdisciplinary exploration of resource efficiency, technological innovation, and ecosystem resilience in resource-rich regions”, Resources Policy, 85, art. 103747.

World Commission on Environment and Development (1987), Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development, New York: United Nations.

Downloads

Published

2024-10-14

How to Cite

Flauzino de Souza, L., & Santos de Amorim, W. (2024). Green innovation in a balance-of-payments constraint growth model for developing economies with capital inflows: The Latin America scenario. PSL Quarterly Review, 77(310), 387–408. https://doi.org/10.13133/2037-3643/18655

Issue

Section

Special issue on structural change, social inclusion, and environmental sustainability: new perspectives and policies in economic development