Euro crisis or public debt crisis? With a remedy for the latter case
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.13133/2037-3643/10155Keywords:
euro, crisis, public debtAbstract
The European crisis did not originate with the Euro but with the excessive public debt of peripheral Eurozone countries. The ‘great moderation’ that had kept the euro sheltered from the storms proved a boon, because it granted the currency the status of a sound asset, but it was also a bane because it had led euro holders to believe that the euro area had implicitly reached such a degree of cohesion as to make a Greek or Italian government security almost as sound as a German one. If awareness of reality had dawned sooner, interest rates on the peripheral countries’ public debt would have been considerably higher and government leaders might have woken up sooner from the dream of governing a country that could outlast any storm thanks to its ample private wealth, despite its massive public debt.
JEL Codes: H63, F34, H12
References
ASSO P.F. and BARUCCI E. (1988), “Ricardo on the National Debt and its Redemption: Some Notes on an Unpublished Ricardian Manuscript”, Economic Notes, Monte dei Paschi di Siena, n. 2, pp. 5-36.
BAGLIONI A. (2012), “Strumenti di gestione della crisi”, in Carlomagno (ed.), Euro: ultima chiamata, Milan: Francesco Brioschi Editore, pp. 121-137.
BALASSONE F., FRANCESE M. and PACE A. (2011), “Public Debt and Economic Growth in Italy”, Quaderni di Storia Economica, Banca d’Italia, n. 11, October.
BANCA D’ITALIA (2011), “La ricchezza delle famiglie italiane – 2010”, Supplementi al Bollettino Statistico – Indicatori monetari e finanziari, n. 64, December.
BOFINGER P. and SOROS G. (2011), “Only Way to Stop the Run on Eurozone Debt”, Financial Times, November 21.
BOITANI A. (2012), “Il baco dell’Unione Monetaria Europea: l’assenza di una politica fiscale federale”, in Carlomagno (ed.), Euro: ultima chiamata, Milan: Francesco Brioschi Editore, pp. 99-120.
BORDIGNON M. (2012), “Verso l’Unione fiscale o verso il collasso dell’euro?”, in Carlomagno (ed.), Euro: ultima chiamata, Milan: Francesco Brioschi Editore, pp. 139-155.
CECCHETTI S.G., MOHANTY M.S. and ZAMPOLLI F. (2011), “The Real Effects of Debt”, BIS Working Papers, n. 352.
DE GRAUWE P. and MONGELLI F.P. (2005), “Endogeneities of Optimum Currency Areas: What Brings Countries Sharing a Single Currency Closer Together”, ECB Working Paper Series, n. 468.
EICHENGREEN B. (1989), “The Capital Levy in Theory and Practice”, University of California at Berkeley, Working Paper, n. 89-117.
EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK (2011), “The Reform of Economic Governance in the Euro Area – Essential Elements”, Monthly Bulletin, March, pp. 99-119.
EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK (2012), “A Fiscal Compact for a Stronger Economic and Monetary Union”, Monthly Bulletin, May, pp. 79-94.
EUROPEAN COMMISSION – ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL AFFAIRS (2009), EMU@10 – Successes and Challenges After Ten Years of Economic and Monetary Union, April.
FANTACONE S. (2012), “La Germania e la moneta unica: vantaggi inattesi e aggiustamenti asimmetrici”, in Carlomagno (ed.), Euro: ultima chiamata, Milan: Francesco Brioschi Editore, pp. 88-97.
GUISO L. and HERRERA H. (2012), “Solo l’unione fiscale salverà l’euro”, Il Sole-24 Ore, 23 February, p. 14.
HABERMAS J., BOFINGER P. and NIDA-RÜMELIN J. (2012), “Il passo decisivo per salvare l’Europa”, La Repubblica, 4 August, pp. 1 and 27
HAMAUI R. (2012), “The Taste of the Pudding Is in the Eating, ovvero: l’Unione Monetaria Europea alla prova dei fatti e (soprattutto) della crisi”, in Carlomagno (ed.), Euro: ultima chiamata, Milan: Francesco Brioschi Editore, pp. 139-155.
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND (2012), World Economic Outlook, April, Washington (DC) IMF.
KENEN P.B. (1969), “The Theory of Optimum Currency Areas: An Eclectic View”, in Mundell R. and Swoboda A. (eds.), Monetary Problems of the International Economy, Chicago: Chicago University Press, pp. 41-60.
KENEN P.B. (2002), “Currency Unions and Policy Domains”, in Andrews D.M., Henning C.R. and Pauly L.W. (eds.), Governing the World’s Money, Ithaca (NY): Cornell University Press, pp. 78-104.
KEYNES J.M. (1924), A Tract on Monetary Reform, London: Macmillan and Co..
KUMAR M. and WOO J. (2010), “Public Debt and Growth”, IMF Working Papers, n. 10/174, July.
LOSSANI M. (2012), “Dall’euro alla grande crisi”, in Carlomagno (ed.), Euro: ultima chiamata, Milan: Francesco Brioschi Editore, pp. 29-60.
LOSSANI M. (2012), “Il processo di unificazione monetaria in Europa. Breve sintesi di una lunga storia”, in Carlomagno (ed.), Euro: ultima chiamata, Milan: Francesco Brioschi Editore, pp. 15-28.
MARATTIN L., PAESANI P. and SALOTTI S. (2012), “Assessing the Pre-Crisis Advantages of the EMU for Sovereign Debt Issuers: A Panel VAR Analysis”, Rivista di Politica Economica, I-III, pp. 7-22.
MICOSSI S. (2012), “An Agenda for the European Council: Feasible Steps to Bring the Eurozone Back from the Precipice”, CEPS Policy Brief, n. 274, June.
MINISTERO DEL TESORO (1988), Il debito pubblico in Italia, 1861-1987, vol. I, Rome: IPZS.
MUNDELL R.A. (1961), “A Theory of Optimum Currency Areas”, American Economic Review, vol. 51 n. 4, pp. 657-665.
REINHART C.M. and ROGOFF K.S. (2010), “Growth in a Time of Debt”, American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings, vol. 100 n. 2, pp. 1-9.
REINHART C.M. and ROGOFF K.S. (2009), This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, Princeton: Princeton University Press.
RINALDI A.M. (2011), Il fallimento dell’euro? Ovvero tutto quello che non è stato detto, Rome: Piscopo Editore.
ROCKOFF H. (2000), “How Long Did It Take The United States to Become An Optimal Currency Area?”, NBER Historical Paper, n. 124, Cambridge (MA).
SARCINELLI M. (1989), “Mezzogiorno e mercato unico europeo: complementarità o conflitto di obiettivi?” Moneta e Credito, n. 166, pp. 129-164.
SARCINELLI M. (1989), “The Mezzogiorno and the Single European Market: Complementary or Conflicting Aims?”, BNL Quarterly Review, n. 169, pp. 129-164.
SARCINELLI M. (2003), “Politica monetaria e politica fiscale in Europa: strade divergenti per sempre?”, in Federazione Nazionale dei Cavalieri del Lavoro, L’Europa possibile, Convegno internazionale sull’allargamento dell’Unione Europea presso la Camera dei Deputati, Roma, 28 e 29 Marzo 2003, Cava de’ Tirreni: Avagliano Editore, pp. 39-68.
SARCINELLI M. (2009), “UEM ed Euro: i successi del passato e le sfide del futuro”, Studi sull’integrazione europea, vol. IV n. 2, pp. 341-359.
SARCINELLI M. (2012), “Terapia d’urto contro il debito pubblico con un'imposta straordinaria sulla ricchezza”, with annexed the original text: “E’ sufficiente una cura omeopatica per il debito pubblico?”, FIRSTonline, 5 February.
SARCINELLI M. (2012), “Commenti ad Antonio Pedone e Gianni Toniolo”.
SARCINELLI M. (2012), “Come abbattere la consistenza del debito pubblico”, Rivista Bancaria – Minerva Bancaria, forthcoming.
VISCO I. (2011), La governance economica europea: riforma e implicazioni, lecture held at the University of L’Aquila to mark the 20th anniversary of the School of Economics, Banca d’Italia, Rome.